LT Weekly: Sep 12, 2025

I first wanted to pause to remember all those impacted by September 11th and honor the lives lost, the courage shown, and the enduring spirit of unity that continues to inspire us. It is hard to believe that it was 24 years ago, yet may its influence continue to shape how we live, lead, and come together.
Turning to our Weekly Update, we knew it was going to be a busy start to September – and we were not proven wrong this week. The tech sector continues to be on a tear with Oracle’s +26% move and AI enthusiasm helping to propel Nasdaq up +2% on the week and drive the S&P 500 up +1.6%. The media sector was also a key focal area with media consolidation speculation emerging. Wall Street conference season also continued this week. Net, there was not a shortage of important updates and developments that we wanted to analysis and flag.
In this edition, we focused on the below themes:
- Oracle Moved Into The AI Infrastructure Spotlight With Its Landmark OpenAI Deal
- Are We Finally On The Brink Of Large Media/Entertainment M&A??
- Crypto & FinTech Lead the Charge In The IPO Revival
- SpaceX Pours More Fuel On The Connectivity Competition Fire
- Snap Is Prepping For 2026 To Be “The Most Consequential Year Yet”
- Apple’s Not Exactly “Awe Dropping” Event
- Global Mobile Data Traffic Per Smartphone Is Expected To Grow +11% CAGR From 2024-2030
- AI’s Ongoing Push Into Hollywood’s Creative Scene
- A Steady Stream Of Next Gen Transport Updates This Week
- Grab Bag: Amazon-Netflix Ad Tie-Up / Murdoch Succession Resolution / YouTube’s NFL Broadcast Breaks Platform Record
Oracle Moved Into The AI Infrastructure Spotlight With Its Landmark OpenAI Deal
This was an incredible week for Oracle and the rest of the AI sector as the Co’s market cap skyrocketed by ~$240bn on the back of a $300bn, 5-year deal with OpenAI for cloud computing and a surge in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPOs). Oracle’s +36% share gain in reaction to the news was reportedly the largest since 1992 and helped Larry Ellison dethrone Elon Musk as the richest man in the world.
While the quarter itself was mixed and the guidance was ho-hum, the +359% y/y surge in RPO to $455bn was a main highlight and was attributed to the Co signing four contracts with three large customers during the qtr. Mgmt also cited the expectation of exceeding $500bn in RPOs in a few months’ time given other deals in the pipeline. Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) revenue is now expected to grow at a ~70% CAGR from FY25 to FY30.
All in all, Oracle joined the short list of AI golden children this week and looking ahead, all eyes will be on the new financial plan which is expected to be outlined at the Co’s upcoming Analyst meeting on October 13-16 in Las Vegas.
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